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Methodology · version 1.3.0

ResDelta Wind Imbalance Index

What the index measures, what it excludes and how the result can be reproduced.

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01

What it measures

All wind plants in the EPİAŞ UEVM list are consolidated by UEVÇB. The index is the ratio of current settlement and KÜPST cost to total generation across 291 anonymous units during the last complete settlement month. The current window is August 2026 (full month); the current value is 2,220 USD/MWh.

The basket is frozen, reviewed annually and triggers a method-version increase when changed.

02

What it does not measure

It is not a savings claim, forecast, model score or revenue promise. It does not disclose plant identities or trading positions.

The monthly series starts with August 2026 under method 1.3.0. The September 2026 issue used a different window and is not directly comparable.

03

Data sources

Public EPİAŞ DPP, UEVM injection quantity, MCP and SMP data. The UEVÇB distribution is published anonymously.

Download the anonymous distribution →

04

Calculation

10.236.860 USD total cost is divided by 4.611.614 MWh total generation, producing 2,220 USD/MWh.

05

Known limits

The frozen basket covers all wind plants in the EPİAŞ UEVM plant list, consolidated by UEVÇB, and is reviewed annually. It represents 94.2% of system wind generation in the measurement month.

Coverage is below 100% because plant-level UEVM is published only for licensed generation facilities. The gap consists of generation without plant-level UEVM, non-standard records — temporary records and aggregator units — and plants without data in the measurement month.

UEVÇB identities remain private, and no trend is drawn across method versions.

06

Version history

1.0.0 (3 September 2026) — out-of-sample validation window, 15 May–31 July 2026.

1.3.0 (10 October 2026) — the window became the last complete settlement month; the basket became all wind plants in the EPİAŞ UEVM list, consolidated by UEVÇB. The money calculation and settlement formula did not change; the 1.0.0 issue remains unchanged in the archive and is not comparable with this one.

07

Publication

Published 10 October 2026; next release 2 November 2026. Releases are scheduled for the first business week of every month.

08

Citation

ResDelta Wind Imbalance Index, 10 October 2026, https://resdelta.com/en/endeks

Questions: info@resdelta.com.